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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">cfpd</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Бюллетень физиологии и патологии дыхания</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Bulletin Physiology and Pathology of Respiration</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1998-5029</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Дальневосточный научный центр физиологии и патологии дыхания</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.36604/1998-5029-2024-93-83-90</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">cfpd-1189</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ОРИГИНАЛЬНЫЕ ИССЛЕДОВАНИЯ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>ORIGINAL RESEARCH</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Многофакторный регрессионный анализ факторов риска развития полипозного риносинусита</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Multivariate regression analysis of risk factors for the development of polyposisrhinosinusitis</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Иванов</surname><given-names>М. О.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Ivanov</surname><given-names>M. O.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Михаил Олегович Иванов, аспирант кафедры патологической физиологии</p><p>г. Чита, ул. Горького, 39а</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Mikhail O. Ivanov, Postgraduate student, Department of the Pathological Physiology</p><p>39a Gorkiy Str., Chita, 672000</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">89148008008@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Егорова</surname><given-names>Е. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Egorova</surname><given-names>E. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Елена Владимировна Егорова, д-р мед. наук, зав. кафедрой отоларингологии</p><p>г. Чита, ул. Горького, 39а</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Elena V. Egorova, MD, PhD, DSc (Med.), Head of the Department of Otolaryngology</p><p>39a Gorkiy Str., Chita, 672000</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">egorovaelen@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Фефелова</surname><given-names>Е. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Fefelova</surname><given-names>E. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Елена Викторовна Фефелова, д-р мед. наук, профессор кафедры патологической физиологии</p><p>г. Чита, ул. Горького, 39а</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Elena V. Fefelova, MD, PhD, DSc (Med.), Professor of the Department of Pathological Physiology</p><p>39a Gorkiy Str., Chita, 672000</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">fefelova.elena@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Цыбиков</surname><given-names>Н. Н.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Tsybikov</surname><given-names>N. N.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Намжил Нанзатович Цыбиков, д-р мед. наук, профессор, зав. кафедрой патологической физиологии</p><p>г. Чита, ул. Горького, 39а</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Namzhil N. Tsybikov, MD, PhD, DSc (Med.), Professor, Head of the Department of Pathological Physiology</p><p>39a Gorkiy Str., Chita, 672000</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">thybikov@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Федеральное государственное бюджетное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Читинская государственная медицинская академия» Министерства здравоохранения Российской Федерации</institution></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Chita State Medical Academy</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2024</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>13</day><month>09</month><year>2024</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>93</issue><fpage>83</fpage><lpage>90</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Иванов М.О., Егорова Е.В., Фефелова Е.В., Цыбиков Н.Н., 2024</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2024</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Иванов М.О., Егорова Е.В., Фефелова Е.В., Цыбиков Н.Н.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Ivanov M.O., Egorova E.V., Fefelova E.V., Tsybikov N.N.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://cfpd.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/1189">https://cfpd.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/1189</self-uri><abstract><p>Введение. Хронический риносинусит с полипами носа относится к группе хронических рецидивирующих воспалительных заболеваний слизистой оболочки носа и околоносовых пазух с не до конца изученным этиопатогенезом. Несмотря на наличие разных теорий развития данного заболевания и принципов патогенетической терапии, некоторые пациенты продолжают страдать от заболевания, не поддающегося медикаментозному и хирургическому лечению.Целью исследования явилось определение наиболее значимых факторов риска развития полипозного риносинусита у больных хроническим гнойным риносинуситом с использованием бинарной логистической регрессии.Материалы и методы. В исследование включены пациенты с диагнозом хронический гнойный риносинусит (n=40) и хронический гнойно-полипозный риносинусит (n=40), находившиеся на лечении в оториноларингологическом отделении ЧУЗ «Клиническая больница «РЖД-Медицина» города Чита с 2016 по 2020 гг. Группу контроля составили 20 здоровых добровольцев, сопоставимых по полу и возрасту с группами исследования. Всем обследуемым проведен комплекс общеклинических исследований, бактериологический анализ, эндоскопический осмотр, в сыворотке крови и назальном секрете определены уровни интерлейкина (IL)-1β, IL-2, IL-4, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, дефензинов (HAD 1-3), белка теплового шока 70 и аутоантител к нему, коагуляционная активность назального секрета. Для анализа факторов риска развития полипозного риносинусита мы использовали математическую модель бинарной логистической регрессии.Результаты. Нами было показано, что высокой прогностической значимостью для развития полипоза слизистой носа у больных гнойным риносинуситом имеют показатели концентрации белка теплового шока 70, IL-10 и содержание HAD 1-3 в сыворотке крови.Заключение. Набор тестов, включающий уровни HSP70, IL-10 и HAD 1-3 в сыворотке крови, позволяет в 99 % предсказать развитие хронического полипозного риносинусита.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Introduction. Chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps is a group of chronic recurrent inflammatory diseases of the nasal mucosa and paranasal sinuses with an incompletely understood etiopathogenesis. Despite various theories on the development of this disease and principles of pathogenetic therapy, some patients continue to suffer from the disease, which is resistant to both medical and surgical treatment.The aim of this study was to identify the most significant risk factors for the development of polypoid rhinosinusitis in patients with chronic purulent rhinosinusitis using binary logistic regression.Materials and methods. The study included patients diagnosed with chronic purulent rhinosinusitis (n=40) and chronic purulent-polypoid rhinosinusitis (n=40) who were treated at the otorhinolaryngology department of the Chita Clinical Hospital "RZD-Medicine" from 2016 to 2020. The control group consisted of 20 healthy volunteers, matched by sex and age with the study groups. All subjects underwent comprehensive clinical examinations, bacteriological analysis, endoscopic examination, and measurements of interleukin (IL)-1β, IL-2, IL-4, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, defensins (HAD 1-3), heat shock protein 70 (HSP70), and autoantibodies to it in serum and nasal secretions, as well as the coagulation activity of nasal secretions. Binary logistic regression was used to analyze risk factors for the development of polypoid rhinosinusitis.Results. We demonstrated that high predictive significance for the development of nasal mucosal polyps in patients with purulent rhinosinusitis is associated with concentrations of heat shock protein 70, IL-10, and HAD 1-3 in serum.Conclusion. A test set that includes levels of HSP70, IL-10, and HAD 1-3 in serum can predict the development of chronic polypoid rhinosinusitis with 99% accuracy.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>хронический полипозный риносинусит</kwd><kwd>цитокины</kwd><kwd>дефензины</kwd><kwd>белок теплового шока</kwd><kwd>регрессионный анализ</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>chronic polypoid rhinosinusitis</kwd><kwd>cytokines</kwd><kwd>defensins</kwd><kwd>heat shock protein</kwd><kwd>regression analysis</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Amirapu S., Biswas K., Radcliff F.J., Wagner Mackenzie B., Ball S., Douglas R.G. 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